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Reserve Risk

Predictive Factor Breakdown

Measures the confidence of long-term holders in the market, relative to the price of the native currency at a given time.

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Reserve Risk

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-0.03
0.07

BTC 30 Day Forward Returns Analysis

BTC historically ▲risen by 2.84% in 30 days when Reserve Risk was between ▆ 0.01 and 0.21.
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Current Value
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▆ 0.01 , 0.21▆ 0.21 , 0.41▆ 0.41 , 0.61▆ 0.61 , 0.8▆ 0.8 , 1.0

2020-01-01

2025-02-26

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BTC Price with Reserve Risk

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Scatter plot - Reserve Risk and BTC 30 and 90 Day Forward Returns

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Further Predictive Factors for BTC

BTC Sell-Side Risk Ratio

10

BTC Implied Volatility (1 Month)

10

BTC Net Realized Profit/Loss

10

BTC BTC Market Dominance

10

BTC Implied Volatility (3 Months)

61

BTC Implied Volatility (1 Week)

10

BTC Asset Value-Investor Value (AVIV) Ratio

10

BTC Money Supply (Global M2)

56

BTC Instantenous Volatility Factor

56

BTC Short Term Realized Cap HODL Waves Index

10

BTC Futures Premium (CME)

10

BTC Reserve Risk

10