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Predictive Factors (BTC)
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BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) Predictive Factors
Categories
Ranking
ETF Net Flow
Tier 1
Measures the net flow of capital into ETFs.
Recent
NaN
Average
NaN
Reddit Mentions
Open Access
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Reddit.
Recent
-0.09
Average
0.2
High Yield Sensitivity
Open Access
Measures the asset's sensitivity to high yield corporate bond rates, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.01
Average
0.19
Skew Factor
Open Access
Measures the skewness of the returns of an asset, calculated based on a range different lookback periods.
Recent
0.05
Average
0.14
Money Supply (Global M2)
Open Access
Measures the M2 money supply across all countries.
Recent
0.4
Average
0.13
Puell Multiple
Open Access
Measures mining profitability, providing insights into their impact on overall market selling pressure.
Recent
0.15
Average
0.13
Stablecoin Supply
Open Access
Measures the total supply of stablecoins across multiple blockchains, providing insights into forthcoming potential liquidity.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.07
Instantenous Volatility Factor
Open Access
Measure of the volatility of an asset.
Recent
-0.15
Average
0.07
Implied Volatility (3 Months)
Open Access
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0
Average
0.06
Exchange Outflow
Open Access
Measures the flow of digital asset out of trading venues.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.04
Fear & Greed Index
Open Access
Measures the overall sentiment of the market, created by Alternative.me
Recent
-0.4
Average
0.01
Fast Momentum Factor
Open Access
Measures the momentum of an asset, calculated on shorter timeframes.
Recent
-0.12
Average
0.01
Instantenous Momentum Factor
Open Access
Measure of the instantenous momentum of an asset.
Recent
-0.18
Average
-0.01
Slow Momentum Factor
Open Access
Measures of the momentum of an asset, calculated on shorter timeframes.
Recent
-0.61
Average
-0.22
Unemployment - Continued Claims (Insured Unemployment)
Tier 1
Measures the number of new unemployment benefits claims.
Recent
0.32
Average
0.25
Exchange Balances
Tier 1
Measures the flow of digital assets into and outside of trading venues by tracking the volume of transfers from external wallets to exchanges.
Recent
-0.05
Average
0.22
Corporate Bond Sensitivity
Tier 1
Measures the asset's sensitivity to high quality corporate bond rates, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.24
Average
0.21
Youtube Mentions
Tier 1
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Youtube.
Recent
0
Average
0.19
Collateralization of Currency (US Dollar)
Tier 1
Recent
0.21
Average
0.18
US Cloud Computing Sector
Tier 1
Measures the performance of the US listed Cloud Computing companies.
Recent
0.35
Average
0.18
Sell-Side Risk Ratio
Tier 1
Measures overall risk, connected to an excessive amount of Bitcoins that are being sold at a given time.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.14
Equities Market Breadth
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of the top 400 large cap companies participating in a market rally.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.14
Unemployment - Initial Claims
Tier 1
Measures the number of new unemployment benefits claims.
Recent
0.07
Average
0.14
Gold Certificates
Tier 1
The amount deposited in Gold Certificates (Source: FED)
Recent
0.22
Average
0.14
Net Realized Profit/Loss
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of realized profit and loss of all participants.
Recent
0.07
Average
0.11
Inflation Linked Bonds Sensitivity
Tier 1
Measures the asset's sensitivity to inflation-linked US government bonds, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.02
Average
0.1
New Users
Tier 1
Measures the number of new users on-chain.
Recent
0.27
Average
0.1
Bitcoin / Gold Correlation
Tier 1
The Rolling Correlation between Bitcoin and Gold.
Recent
-0.38
Average
0.09
Treasury and Agency Securities, Overall Level
Tier 1
Recent
0.07
Average
0.09
Hash Price
Tier 1
Measures the cost of mining a Bitcoin block.
Recent
0.01
Average
0.09
Coin Days Destroyed
Tier 1
Measures the average number of days since each coin was last spent.
Recent
-0.05
Average
0.08
Attention Index
Tier 1
Measures the assets' overall share of all conversations about crypto.
Recent
0.14
Average
0.08
MSTR Premium
Tier 1
Measures the difference between Microstrategy's market capitalization over its Bitcoin holdings.
Recent
-0.32
Average
0.08
BTC Market Dominance
Tier 1
Measures the market capitalization of Bitcoin as a percentage of all the total crypto market capitalization.
Recent
0.21
Average
0.08
Overall Level Bank Credit
Tier 1
Overall Level of Securities in Bank Credit (Source: FED)
Recent
0.08
Average
0.07
Reserve Risk
Tier 1
Measures the confidence of long-term holders in the market, relative to the price of the native currency at a given time.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.07
Telegram Mentions
Tier 1
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Telegram.
Recent
0.1
Average
0.06
Implied Volatility (1 Month)
Tier 1
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0.17
Average
0.06
Stablecoin Transfer Volumes
Tier 1
Measures the total volume of stablecoins transferred across blockchains.
Recent
-0.2
Average
0.05
Active Addresses
Tier 1
Measures the number of unique addresses interacting with the Bitcoin network.
Recent
0.05
Average
0.05
Implied Volatility (1 Week)
Tier 1
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0.09
Average
0.04
Asset Value-Investor Value (AVIV) Ratio
Tier 1
Measures the ratio between Bitcoin's active transactional liquidity and the capital committed by long-term investors.
Recent
-0.07
Average
0.03
Equities Sensitivity
Tier 1
Measures the asset's sensitivity to global equity indices, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
-0.01
Average
0.03
Telegram Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions on Telegram.
Recent
0.07
Average
0.03
Retail Money Market Funds
Tier 1
Recent
0.36
Average
0.03
MVRV
Tier 1
Measures Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio of a digital asset, designed to evaluate its valuation dynamics across various timeframes.
Recent
-0.09
Average
0.03
Short Term Realized Cap HODL Waves Index
Tier 1
Measures short-term investor behavior.
Recent
-0.04
Average
0.02
US Dollar / Bitcoin Ratio
Tier 1
The US Dollar Index, divided by Bitcoin's price.
Recent
0.01
Average
0.02
Development Effort
Tier 1
Measures the ongoing development effort for the chain.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.02
Aggregate Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions across all tracked channels.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.02
Aggregate Futures Volume
Tier 1
Measures the total volume of Bitcoin futures contracts traded across leading exchanges.
Recent
-0.06
Average
0.02
Whale Transactions Index
Tier 1
Tracks significant capital movements within digital assets by measuring high-value transaction volumes.
Recent
0.09
Average
0
Stablecoin Supply Ratio
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of stablecoin supply to Bitcoin market capitalization.
Recent
-0.07
Average
-0.01
Futures Premium (CME)
Tier 1
Measures the difference between the price of Bitcoin futures contracts on CME, and the spot price.
Recent
-0.05
Average
-0.02
Funding Rates (Aggregate)
Tier 1
Measures the aggregate funding rates for the asset across leading global exchanges.
Recent
0.06
Average
-0.02
Demand Deposits
Tier 1
Recent
-0.09
Average
-0.02
US Bank Assets: Securities in Custody for Foreign and International Accounts
Tier 1
Custody Holdings: Securities in Custody for Foreign and International Accounts (source: FED)
Recent
0.18
Average
-0.03
Reddit Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions on Reddit.
Recent
-0.11
Average
-0.08
Hashrate
Tier 1
Measures the total computational power dedicated to mining Bitcoin.
Recent
0.19
Average
-0.1
Currency Component of M1
Tier 1
Recent
-0.15
Average
-0.1
Median Consumer Price Index
Tier 1
Recent
0.02
Average
-0.1
Memecoin Index
Tier 1
Measures the market capitalization of meme-based cryptocurrencies.
Recent
-0.54
Average
-0.18
Open Interest (Aggregate)
Tier 1
Measures open interest data across leading global exchanges.
Recent
-0.08
Average
-0.22
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