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Predictive Factors (BTC)
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Bitcoin (BTC) Predictive Factors
Categories
Ranking
Sentiment Factors
Telegram Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions on Telegram.
Recent
0.07
Average
0.03
Aggregate Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions across all tracked channels.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.02
Reddit Sentiment
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of positive to negative mentions on Reddit.
Recent
-0.11
Average
-0.08
Social Factors
Reddit Mentions
Open Access
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Reddit.
Recent
-0.09
Average
0.2
Attention Index
Tier 1
Measures the assets' overall share of all conversations about crypto.
Recent
0.14
Average
0.08
Telegram Mentions
Tier 1
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Telegram.
Recent
0.1
Average
0.06
Youtube Mentions
Tier 1
Measures interest in the asset by tracking the number of mentions on Youtube.
Recent
0
Average
0.19
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Macroeconomic Factors
Money Supply (Global M2)
Open Access
Measures the M2 money supply across all countries.
Recent
0.4
Average
0.13
Retail Money Market Funds
Tier 1
Recent
0.36
Average
0.03
Unemployment - Continued Claims (Insured Unemployment)
Tier 1
Measures the number of new unemployment benefits claims.
Recent
0.32
Average
0.25
Gold Certificates
Tier 1
The amount deposited in Gold Certificates (Source: FED)
Recent
0.22
Average
0.14
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Exchange Flow Factors
Exchange Outflow
Open Access
Measures the flow of digital asset out of trading venues.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.04
Exchange Balances
Tier 1
Measures the flow of digital assets into and outside of trading venues by tracking the volume of transfers from external wallets to exchanges.
Recent
-0.05
Average
0.22
On-Chain Liquidity Factors
Sell-Side Risk Ratio
Tier 1
Measures overall risk, connected to an excessive amount of Bitcoins that are being sold at a given time.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.14
Reserve Risk
Tier 1
Measures the confidence of long-term holders in the market, relative to the price of the native currency at a given time.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.07
Other On-Chain Factors
New Users
Tier 1
Measures the number of new users on-chain.
Recent
0.27
Average
0.1
Whale Transactions Index
Tier 1
Tracks significant capital movements within digital assets by measuring high-value transaction volumes.
Recent
0.09
Average
0
Net Realized Profit/Loss
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of realized profit and loss of all participants.
Recent
0.07
Average
0.11
Active Addresses
Tier 1
Measures the number of unique addresses interacting with the Bitcoin network.
Recent
0.05
Average
0.05
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Valuation Factors
BTC Market Dominance
Tier 1
Measures the market capitalization of Bitcoin as a percentage of all the total crypto market capitalization.
Recent
0.21
Average
0.08
Asset Value-Investor Value (AVIV) Ratio
Tier 1
Measures the ratio between Bitcoin's active transactional liquidity and the capital committed by long-term investors.
Recent
-0.07
Average
0.03
MVRV
Tier 1
Measures Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio of a digital asset, designed to evaluate its valuation dynamics across various timeframes.
Recent
-0.09
Average
0.03
Miner Metrics
Puell Multiple
Open Access
Measures mining profitability, providing insights into their impact on overall market selling pressure.
Recent
0.15
Average
0.13
Hashrate
Tier 1
Measures the total computational power dedicated to mining Bitcoin.
Recent
0.19
Average
-0.1
Hash Price
Tier 1
Measures the cost of mining a Bitcoin block.
Recent
0.01
Average
0.09
Stablecoin Metrics
Stablecoin Supply
Open Access
Measures the total supply of stablecoins across multiple blockchains, providing insights into forthcoming potential liquidity.
Recent
-0.03
Average
0.07
Stablecoin Supply Ratio
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of stablecoin supply to Bitcoin market capitalization.
Recent
-0.07
Average
-0.01
Stablecoin Transfer Volumes
Tier 1
Measures the total volume of stablecoins transferred across blockchains.
Recent
-0.2
Average
0.05
Cross-Asset Predictive Relationships
High Yield Sensitivity
Open Access
Measures the asset's sensitivity to high yield corporate bond rates, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.01
Average
0.19
US Cloud Computing Sector
Tier 1
Measures the performance of the US listed Cloud Computing companies.
Recent
0.35
Average
0.18
Corporate Bond Sensitivity
Tier 1
Measures the asset's sensitivity to high quality corporate bond rates, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.24
Average
0.21
Inflation Linked Bonds Sensitivity
Tier 1
Measures the asset's sensitivity to inflation-linked US government bonds, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.
Recent
0.02
Average
0.1
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Market Statistics
ETF Net Flow
Open Access
Measures the net flow of capital into ETFs.
Recent
NaN
Average
NaN
Fear & Greed Index
Open Access
Measures the overall sentiment of the market, created by Alternative.me
Recent
-0.4
Average
0.01
Funding Rates (Aggregate)
Tier 1
Measures the aggregate funding rates for the asset across leading global exchanges.
Recent
0.06
Average
-0.02
Equities Market Breadth
Tier 1
Measures the ratio of the top 400 large cap companies participating in a market rally.
Recent
0.06
Average
0.14
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Options Market
Implied Volatility (3 Months)
Open Access
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0
Average
0.06
Implied Volatility (1 Month)
Tier 1
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0.17
Average
0.06
Implied Volatility (1 Week)
Tier 1
Measures the options market's expectation of Bitcoin's future price volatility.
Recent
0.09
Average
0.04
Technical Factors
Skew Factor
Open Access
Measures the skewness of the returns of an asset, calculated based on a range different lookback periods.
Recent
0.05
Average
0.14
Fast Momentum Factor
Open Access
Measures the momentum of an asset, calculated on shorter timeframes.
Recent
-0.12
Average
0.01
Instantenous Volatility Factor
Open Access
Measure of the volatility of an asset.
Recent
-0.15
Average
0.07
Instantenous Momentum Factor
Open Access
Measure of the instantenous momentum of an asset.
Recent
-0.18
Average
-0.01
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Social Factors
Reddit MentionsOpen Access
Recent
Average
Attention IndexTier 1
Recent
Average
Telegram MentionsTier 1
Recent
Average
Youtube MentionsTier 1
Recent
Average