High Yield Sensitivity

Predictive Factor Breakdown

Measures the asset's sensitivity to high yield corporate bond rates, captures the lead-lag relationship between the two assets.

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High Yield Sensitivity

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0.01
0.19

BTC 30 Day Forward Returns Analysis

BTC historically risen by 7.20% in 30 days when High Yield Sensitivity was between ▆ 0.8 and 1.0.
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Current Value
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▆ 0.0 , 0.2▆ 0.2 , 0.4▆ 0.4 , 0.6▆ 0.6 , 0.8▆ 0.8 , 1.0

2020-01-01

2025-02-26

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BTC Price with High Yield Sensitivity

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UnravelHigh Yield Sensitivity

High Yield Sensitivity measures the asset's sensitivity to high yield corporate bond rates. It's designed to effectively capture the lead-lag relationship between the two assets. The index is normalized using a wide range of lookback windows in order to be easily modelable and interpretable. Elevated high-yield bond rates, often reflective of heightened risk premiums and tighter credit conditions, may exert dual pressures on Bitcoin’s market dynamics. As a non-yielding, risk-sensitive asset, Bitcoin could face headwinds in environments where rising junk bond yields signal investor preference for income-generating instruments or a broader flight to safety amid economic uncertainty. Higher borrowing costs and reduced liquidity, driven by central bank tightening cycles, may constrain speculative capital flows into cryptocurrencies, dampening Bitcoin’s near-term valuation.

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Scatter plot - High Yield Sensitivity and BTC 30 and 90 Day Forward Returns

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